{"id":2165,"date":"2016-01-29T02:16:18","date_gmt":"2016-01-29T00:16:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/?p=2165"},"modified":"2018-03-26T16:38:52","modified_gmt":"2018-03-26T14:38:52","slug":"statistical-analysis-of-the-law-on-intelligence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/en\/2016\/01\/29\/statistical-analysis-of-the-law-on-intelligence\/","title":{"rendered":"Statistical analysis of the law on intelligence"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Edward<\/a>
Edward\u00a0Snowden<\/span><\/a> in 2013 \u2013 screen shot from the movie Citizenfour<\/em><\/a> (2014, Laura Poitras<\/span><\/a>, Praxis Films<\/a>) under licence Creative\u00a0Commons\u00a0BY\u00a03.0<\/a> via Wikimedia\u00a0Commons<\/a>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

You probably have notice that the public debate has been recently dominated by security issues \u2013 at least, it has been the case in France. The attacks in Paris on November 13, 2015<\/a> participated in putting this subject as one of the most debated. Yet, if the need to take some measures, probably real, is often stressed out, my impression, indeed not supported by a comprehensive study, is that the question of the effectiveness of these measures generally do not arise. However, even if it takes a bit to have the necessary perspective to assess the question of effectiveness, it is generally possible to carry out an a priori study.<\/p>\n

Let take as an example the law on intelligence, promulgated in France on July 24, 2015<\/a> and which I have assess<\/a> repeatedly<\/a>, with a vue<\/a> from here<\/a>. Though we have to wait to judge its proven effects, a first assessment can been done using some simple statistics. This article was inspired by another one, published in the journal La\u00a0Recherche in November 20151<\/sup><\/a>Claude\u00a0Castelluccia and Daniel\u00a0Le M\u00e9tayer, 2015. Les failles de la loi sur le renseignement<\/em>, La Recherche n\u00b0 505, pp. 61 \u2013 65.<\/span><\/span>