{"id":4406,"date":"2022-05-31T05:00:37","date_gmt":"2022-05-31T03:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/?p=4406"},"modified":"2022-06-11T08:29:31","modified_gmt":"2022-06-11T06:29:31","slug":"la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-9-la-guerre-des-sondages","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/05\/31\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-9-la-guerre-des-sondages\/","title":{"rendered":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 \u00c9pisode 9\u00a0: La Guerre des sondages"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\nhttps:\/\/vimeo.com\/715425596\/privacy\n<\/div>
Neuvi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode de la s\u00e9rie de lives<\/em> intitul\u00e9es La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives<\/em> intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion<\/em>, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du neuvi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode, La Guerre des sondages<\/em>, dans lequel je pr\u00e9sente les effets des modes de scrutin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le support de pr\u00e9sentation est disponible en ligne<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le d\u00e9p\u00f4t du code est disponible en ligne<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le premier \u00e9pisode est disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le deuxi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est disponible sur ce site<\/a> \u00e9galement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le troisi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est aussi disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le quatri\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est \u00e9galement disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le cinqui\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est, lui aussi, disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le sixi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode, pour sa part, est \u00e9galement disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vous pouvez aussi trouver le septi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le premier hors-s\u00e9rie est, lui aussi, disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le huiti\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est \u00e9galement disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Toujours sur ce site, le deuxi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie est disponible<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Plusieurs pr\u00e9sentations des modes de scrutins : Monsieur le pr\u00e9sident, avez-vous vraiment gagn\u00e9 cette \u00e9lection\u202f?<\/a>, R\u00e9formons l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle\u202f!<\/a>, La Main invisible d\u2019un math\u00e9maticien malveillant<\/a>, Pourquoi notre syst\u00e8me de vote est nul (et le moyen le plus simple de l\u2019am\u00e9liorer)<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le Scrutin de Condorcet<\/span> randomis\u00e9<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Balinski<\/span>, Michel et Rida Laraki<\/span>, 2011. Majority Judgment<\/em>, MIT Press, Boston.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019entr\u00e9e de la Standford Encyclopedia of Philosophy<\/em> sur les modes de scrutin<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le Minist\u00e8re de l\u2019Int\u00e9rieur refuse de prendre en compte l\u2019alliance NUP\u00c9S<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019agr\u00e9gation de sondage d\u2019Alexandre L\u00e9chenet<\/span>.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

La page Wikip\u00e9dia agr\u00e9geant les sondages pour les \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives fran\u00e7aises de 2022.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du neuvi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode, La Guerre des sondages, dans lequel je pr\u00e9sente les effets des modes de scrutin. Le support de pr\u00e9sentation est disponible en ligne. Le d\u00e9p\u00f4t du code est disponible en ligne. Le premier … Continuer la lecture de La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 \u00c9pisode 9\u00a0: La Guerre des sondages<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,43],"tags":[171,133,81,66],"class_list":["post-4406","post","type-post","status-publish","format-video","hentry","category-politique","category-science","tag-cds","tag-mathematiques","tag-science","tag-vulgarisation","post_format-post-format-video"],"yoast_head":"\nLa Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 \u00c9pisode 9\u00a0: La Guerre des sondages – Vu d\u2019ici<\/title>\n<meta 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La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du quatri\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie, Les sondages de la discorde, dans lequel je pr\u00e9sente les sondages \u00e0 la veille du premier tour\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans "Politique"","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4268,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2021\/11\/03\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-1-le-jeu-des-sondages\/","url_meta":{"origin":4406,"position":1},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 \u00c9pisode\u00a01\u00a0: Le Jeu des sondages","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"3 novembre 2021","format":"video","excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/641354427 Premier \u00e9pisode de la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion. Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du premier \u00e9pisode, Le\u00a0Jeu\u00a0des\u00a0sondages, dans lequel je pr\u00e9sente le fonctionnement g\u00e9n\u00e9ral des sondages. Le support de pr\u00e9sentation est disponible\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans "Politique"","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4432,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/06\/11\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-3-sondages-et-confusion\/","url_meta":{"origin":4406,"position":2},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u00a03 : Sondages et confusion","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"11 juin 2022","format":"video","excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/719318355 Troisi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie de la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9es La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du troisi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie, Sondages et confusion, dans lequel je pr\u00e9sente les sondages \u00e0 la veille du premier tour des \u00e9lections\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans "Politique"","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4462,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/07\/13\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-10-les-conclusions-des-sondages\/","url_meta":{"origin":4406,"position":3},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 \u00c9pisode 10\u00a0: Les Conclusions des sondages","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"13 juillet 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/729335045 Dixi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode de la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion. Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du dixi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode, Les\u00a0Conclusions\u00a0des\u00a0sondages, dans lequel, avec Chlo\u00e9\u00a0Debauges, nous faisons un bilan de cette ann\u00e9e d\u2019analyse des sondages. Le d\u00e9p\u00f4t\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans "Politique"","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4356,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/04\/03\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-7-un-reve-de-sondage\/","url_meta":{"origin":4406,"position":4},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 \u00e9pisode 7\u00a0: Un R\u00eave de sondage","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"3 avril 2022","format":"video","excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/695438067 Sixi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode de la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9es La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du septi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode, Un\u00a0R\u00eave\u00a0de\u00a0sondage, dans lequel, avec Chlo\u00e9\u00a0Debauges, nous faisons un bilan de l\u2019analyse des sondages pour le premier tour\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans "Politique"","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4365,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/04\/08\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-sondages-et-voyance\/","url_meta":{"origin":4406,"position":5},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie\u00a0: Sondages et voyance","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"8 avril 2022","format":"video","excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/697538767 Premier hors-s\u00e9rie de la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9es La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du premier hors-s\u00e9rie, Sondages et voyance, dans lequel, avec Chlo\u00e9\u00a0Debauges, nous indiquons ce que pr\u00e9voient les sondages pour le premier\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans "Politique"","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4406","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4406"}],"version-history":[{"count":21,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4406\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4438,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4406\/revisions\/4438"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4406"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4406"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4406"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}