{"id":5395,"date":"2024-06-29T01:53:21","date_gmt":"2024-06-28T23:53:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/?p=5395"},"modified":"2024-07-05T19:49:11","modified_gmt":"2024-07-05T17:49:11","slug":"la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/","title":{"rendered":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"660\" height=\"372\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/tViPx4Qepow?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=fr-FR&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6&nbsp;: Suspens et sondages<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-33a938f1-2dfe-4cda-9e9a-315f7d73b957\">Dans la s\u00e9rie de <em>lives<\/em> intitul\u00e9e <em>La&nbsp;Geste&nbsp;des&nbsp;statistiques&nbsp;et&nbsp;de&nbsp;l\u2019opinion<\/em>, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du sixi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie, <em>Suspens&nbsp;sondages<\/em>, dans lequel, avec <a title=\"La cha\u00eene Youtube \u201cDessines-moi une question\u201d\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCAxys28BoHlIzXfPeuiuVKQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Chlo\u00e9&nbsp;<span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Debauges<\/span><\/a>, nous faisons un dernier point sur les sondages concernant le premier tour des \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives fran\u00e7aises de 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Pendant l\u2019\u00e9mission, un sondage a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9. S\u2019il ne change pas les conclusions, \u00e7a modifie tout de m\u00eame sensiblement le mod\u00e8le. L\u2019\u00e9tat des intentions de votes en int\u00e9grant ce sondage&nbsp;:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"660\" height=\"356\" data-attachment-id=\"5417\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/intentionsvotes-2024-06-28\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?fit=2082%2C1123&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2082,1123\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"intentionsVotes-2024-06-28\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?fit=300%2C162&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?fit=660%2C356&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?resize=660%2C356&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\u00c9tat du mod\u00e8le au 28 juin 2024.\" class=\"wp-image-5417\" title=\"\u00c9tat du mod\u00e8le au 28 juin 2024.\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?resize=1024%2C552&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?resize=300%2C162&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?resize=768%2C414&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?resize=1536%2C828&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?resize=2048%2C1105&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?w=1320&amp;ssl=1 1320w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?w=1980&amp;ssl=1 1980w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u00c9tat du mod\u00e8le au 28 juin 2024.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Voici la matrice des corr\u00e9lations et \u00e9carts-type en int\u00e9grant ce sondage&nbsp;:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"660\" height=\"399\" data-attachment-id=\"5416\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/correlations-2024-06-28\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?fit=2024%2C1224&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2024,1224\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"correlations-2024-06-28\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;Matrice des corr\u00e9lations et \u00e9carts-types.&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?fit=300%2C181&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?fit=660%2C399&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?resize=660%2C399&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Matrice des corr\u00e9lations et \u00e9carts-types.\" class=\"wp-image-5416\" title=\"Matrice des corr\u00e9lations et \u00e9carts-types au 28 juin 2024.\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?resize=1024%2C619&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?resize=300%2C181&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?resize=768%2C464&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?resize=1536%2C929&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?w=2024&amp;ssl=1 2024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/correlations-2024-06-28.png?w=1320&amp;ssl=1 1320w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Matrice des corr\u00e9lations et \u00e9carts-types au 28 juin 2024.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Le d\u00e9p\u00f4t du code est <a title=\"D\u00e9p\u00f4t du code\" href=\"https:\/\/framagit.org\/ylebars\/analysesondage\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">disponible en ligne<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le premier \u00e9pisode est <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 1 : Le Jeu des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2021\/11\/03\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-1-le-jeu-des-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le deuxi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 2 : Le Choc des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2021\/12\/06\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-2-le-choc-des-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a> \u00e9galement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le troisi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est aussi <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 3 : La Temp\u00eate des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2021\/12\/24\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-3-la-tempete-des-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le quatri\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est \u00e9galement <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 4 : Le Festin des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/01\/17\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-4-le-festin-des-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le cinqui\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est, lui aussi, <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 5 : La Danse des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/02\/21\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-5-la-danse-des-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le sixi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode, pour sa part, est \u00e9galement <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 6 : Le Vent des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/03\/24\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-6-le-vent-des-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vous pouvez aussi trouver le septi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 7 : Un R\u00eave de sondage\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/04\/03\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-7-un-reve-de-sondage\/\">sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le premier hors-s\u00e9rie est, lui aussi, <a title=\"Hors-s\u00e9rie : Sondage et voyance\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/04\/08\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-sondages-et-voyance\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le huiti\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est \u00e9galement <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 8 : L\u2019Ombre des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/04\/17\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-8-lombre-des-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toujours sur ce site, le <a title=\"Hors-s\u00e9rie num\u00e9ro 2 : Les Annonces des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/04\/22\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-2-les-annonces-des-sondages\/\">deuxi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie est disponible<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le neuvi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est \u00e9galement <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 9 : La Guerre des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/05\/31\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-9-la-guerre-des-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le troisi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie est aussi <a title=\"Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0 3 : Sondages et confusion\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/06\/11\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-3-sondages-et-confusion\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toujours sur ce site, <a title=\"Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0 4 : Les Sondages de la discorde\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/06\/17\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-4-les-sondages-de-la-discorde\/\">le quatri\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie est disponible<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>De plus, le dixi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 10&nbsp;: Les Conclusions des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/07\/13\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-10-les-conclusions-des-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le onzi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est \u00e9galement <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 11&nbsp;: La Maison des sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/05\/28\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-11-la-maison-des-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le hors-s\u00e9rie num\u00e9ro cinq est, lui aussi, <a title=\"Hors-s\u00e9rie num\u00e9ro 5&nbsp;: Le Chevalier aux sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/07\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-numero-5-le-chevalier-aux-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le douzi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est \u00e9galement <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 12&nbsp;: Fables et sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/26\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-12-fables-et-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Enfin, le treizi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode est <a title=\"\u00c9pisode 13&nbsp;: Confusions et sondages\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/28\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-13-confusions-et-sondages\/\">disponible sur ce site<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"Liste de sondages sur les \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives fran\u00e7aises de 2024\" href=\"https:\/\/fr.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Liste_de_sondages_sur_les_%C3%A9lections_l%C3%A9gislatives_fran%C3%A7aises_de_2024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">L\u2019agr\u00e9gation de sondages de Wikip\u00e9dia<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"\u00c0 force d\u2019y croire&nbsp;: la France s\u2019est-elle droitis\u00e9e\u202f?\" href=\"https:\/\/esprit.presse.fr\/article\/vincent-tiberj\/a-force-d-y-croire-la-france-s-est-elle-droitisee-43763\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Tiberj, Vicent (2022). \u00ab\u202f\u00c0 force d\u2019y croire&nbsp;: la France s\u2019est-elle droitis\u00e9e\u202f?\u202f\u00bb <em>Esprit<\/em>.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"D\u00e9cision n\u00b0 488379\" href=\"https:\/\/www.conseil-etat.fr\/fr\/arianeweb\/CE\/decision\/2023-09-21\/488379\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">La d\u00e9cision du Conseil&nbsp;d\u2019\u00e9tat quant aux qualifications du Rassemblement&nbsp;national et de La&nbsp;France&nbsp;insoumise<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"L'extr\u00eame droite, c'est quoi ? - CONCEPTOTH\u00c8QUE\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=1sIwyqb7aVo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Lambrecht<\/span>, Maxime (2024). <em>L\u2019extr\u00eame droite, c\u2019est quoi\u202f?<\/em>, Philoxime, Conceptoth\u00e8que, Youtube.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"Elections l\u00e9gislatives 2024 : Pourquoi c\u2019est faux de dire que LFI est un parti d\u2019extr\u00eame gauche ?\" href=\"https:\/\/www.20minutes.fr\/politique\/4096310-20240614-elections-legislatives-2024-pourquoi-faux-dire-lfi-parti-extreme-gauche\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Martin<\/span>, \u00c9lise (2024). <em>Elections l\u00e9gislatives 2024&nbsp;: Pourquoi c\u2019est faux de dire que LFI est un parti d\u2019extr\u00eame gauche\u202f?<\/em>, 20 minutes.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"Comment Macron a pav\u00e9 la voie de Bardella\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=cw-gvWGMJjE&amp;pp=ygUVY2zDqW1lbnQgdmlrdG9yb3ZpdGNo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Viktorovitch<\/span>, Cl\u00e9ment (2024). <em>Comment Macron a pav\u00e9 la voie de Bardella<\/em>, Youtube.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"La CNCDH publie le Rapport 2023 sur la lutte contre le racisme, l\u2019antis\u00e9mitisme et la x\u00e9nophobie\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cncdh.fr\/actualite\/la-cncdh-publie-le-rapport-2023-sur-la-lutte-contre-le-racisme-lantisemitisme-et-la\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Rapport de la CNCDH sur le racisme, l\u2019antis\u00e9mitisme et la x\u00e9nophobie en France en 2024.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"L\u2019antis\u00e9mitisme, plus ancr\u00e9 \u00e0 droite qu\u2019\u00e0 gauche, indique un rapport que le gouvernement n\u2019est pas all\u00e9 chercher\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lavoixdunord.fr\/1477478\/article\/2024-06-27\/l-antisemitisme-plus-ancre-droite-qu-gauche-indique-un-rapport-que-le\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Le gouvernement ne s\u2019est pas rendu \u00e0 la publication du rapport de la CNCDH.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"Le racisme est-il de plus en plus d\u00e9complex\u00e9 en France ? - 28 Minutes - ARTE\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=oiWOXTX39pg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Ces derniers temps, c\u2019est bien le racisme et l\u2019antis\u00e9mitisme de l\u2019extr\u00eame-droite qui s\u2019exprime le plus.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"L\u2019Union Juive Fran\u00e7aise pour la Paix (UJFP) et TSEDEK! participent au Front Populaire\" href=\"https:\/\/ujfp.org\/lunion-juive-francaise-pour-la-paix-ujfp-et-tsedek-participent-au-front-populaire\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">L\u2019Union Juive Fran\u00e7aise pour la Paix (UJFP) et TSEDEK\u202f! participent au Front Populaire.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"Le programme officiel du Nouveau front populaire\" href=\"https:\/\/assets.nationbuilder.com\/nouveaufrontpopulaire\/pages\/1\/attachments\/original\/1719575111\/PROGRAMME_FRONT_POPULAIRE_2806.pdf?1719575111\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Programme officiel du Nouveau&nbsp;front&nbsp;populaire.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"\u00ab\u202fLes orientations \u00e9conomiques du Nouveau Front populaire r\u00e9pondent aux d\u00e9fis de notre \u00e9poque\u202f\u00bb\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nouvelobs.com\/politique\/20240625.OBS90197\/les-orientations-economiques-du-nouveau-front-populaire-repondent-aux-defis-de-notre-epoque.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">300 \u00e9conomistes soutiennent le programme \u00e9conomique du Nouveau&nbsp;front&nbsp;populaire.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"L\u00e9gislatives anticip\u00e9es&nbsp;: Anne-Laure Delatte et Jean Pisani-Ferry et les programmes \u00e9conomiques\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=UHx1K6GNrcc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Anne-Laure&nbsp;<span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Delatte<\/span> et Jean&nbsp;<span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Pisani-Ferry<\/span> analysent les programmes \u00e9conomiques des candidats aux \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives de 2024.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"LE PROGRAMME DU NOUVEAU FRONT POPULAIRE VA-T-IL \u201cMENER LE PAYS \u00c0 LA RUINE\u201d&nbsp;?\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=aNKiEfddCtk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Analyse du programme \u00e9conomique du Nouveau&nbsp;front&nbsp;populaire par Micha\u00ebl&nbsp;<span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Zemmour<\/span>.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"Message officiel du Parti socialiste\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/partisocialiste\/status\/1806416735672971604\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Renaissance a cr\u00e9\u00e9 un faux simulateur de retraites pour d\u00e9scridit\u00e9 le Nouveau&nbsp;front&nbsp;populaire.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"La r\u00e9forme de la CSG du Nouveau Front populaire p\u00e9nalisera-t-elle les petits retrait\u00e9s, comme l\u2019indique le simulateur d\u2019Attal\u202f?\" href=\"https:\/\/www.liberation.fr\/checknews\/la-reforme-de-la-csg-du-nouveau-front-populaire-penalisera-t-elle-les-petits-retraites-comme-lindique-le-simulateur-dattal-20240628_KLUJV5ZCX5EGHOPR7YDOAVGIMI\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">D\u00e9bunkage par Lib\u00e9ration du simulateur cr\u00e9\u00e9 par Renaissance.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"Umberto ECO, 14 signaux pour reconna\u00eetre le fascisme\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lesnouveauxdissidents.org\/single-post\/2017\/07\/24\/Umberto-Eco-14-signaux-pour-reconna%C3%AEtre-le-fascisme\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Les 14 signaux pour reconna\u00eetre le fascisme rassembl\u00e9s par Umberto&nbsp;<span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Eco<\/span><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"Ma logique politique c\u2019est le refus de la lutte des classes\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ZemmourEric\/status\/1493636250993049609\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u00c9ric&nbsp;<span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Zemmour<\/span> a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 vouloir remplacer la lutte des classes par la collaboration de classe<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a title=\"\u201c\u00c9ric Zemmour est l\u2019expression de l\u2019an\u00e9antissement presque total du d\u00e9bat public\u201d\" href=\"https:\/\/www.telerama.fr\/debats-reportages\/eric-zemmour-est-l-expression-de-l-aneantissement-presque-total-du-debat-public-7007710.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Le discours d\u2019\u00c9ric&nbsp;<span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Zemmour<\/span> correspond \u00e0 un discours n\u00e9o-fasciste.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-variant: small-caps;\">Till\u00e9<\/span>, Yves (2019). <em>Th\u00e9orie des sondages, \u00c9chantillonnage et estimation en populations finies<\/em>, deuxi\u00e8me \u00e9dition, Dunod, Paris.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La&nbsp;Geste&nbsp;des&nbsp;statistiques&nbsp;et&nbsp;de&nbsp;l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du sixi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie, Suspens&nbsp;sondages, dans lequel, avec Chlo\u00e9&nbsp;Debauges, nous faisons un dernier point sur les sondages concernant le premier tour des \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives fran\u00e7aises de 2024.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,43],"tags":[171,133,66],"class_list":["post-5395","post","type-post","status-publish","format-video","hentry","category-politique","category-science","tag-cds","tag-mathematiques","tag-vulgarisation","post_format-post-format-video"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages &#8211; Vu d\u2019ici<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Rediffusion du sixi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie de ma s\u00e9rie de lives pr\u00e9sentant comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages &#8211; Vu d\u2019ici\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Rediffusion du sixi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie de ma s\u00e9rie de lives pr\u00e9sentant comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Vu d\u2019ici\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-06-28T23:53:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-07-05T17:49:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28-1024x552.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Yoann Le Bars\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Yoann Le Bars\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Yoann Le Bars\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/90c5a2de7ad2db1184bbe140ebea1576\"},\"headline\":\"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-06-28T23:53:21+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-07-05T17:49:11+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/\"},\"wordCount\":656,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/90c5a2de7ad2db1184bbe140ebea1576\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28-1024x552.png\",\"keywords\":[\"cds\",\"Math\u00e9matiques\",\"Vulgarisation\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Politique\",\"Science\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/\",\"name\":\"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages &#8211; Vu d\u2019ici\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28-1024x552.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-06-28T23:53:21+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-07-05T17:49:11+00:00\",\"description\":\"Rediffusion du sixi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie de ma s\u00e9rie de lives pr\u00e9sentant comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?fit=2082%2C1123&ssl=1\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?fit=2082%2C1123&ssl=1\",\"width\":2082,\"height\":1123},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Accueil\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/\",\"name\":\"Vu d\u2019ici\",\"description\":\"Pages personnelles de Yoann LE\u00a0BARS\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/90c5a2de7ad2db1184bbe140ebea1576\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":[\"Person\",\"Organization\"],\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/90c5a2de7ad2db1184bbe140ebea1576\",\"name\":\"Yoann Le Bars\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/fec731577f2c05141910be0dc3ef5bb2.jpeg?fit=80%2C80&ssl=1\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/fec731577f2c05141910be0dc3ef5bb2.jpeg?fit=80%2C80&ssl=1\",\"width\":80,\"height\":80,\"caption\":\"Yoann Le Bars\"},\"logo\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\"},\"description\":\"Un enseignant-chercheur avec un peu trop de centres d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eats pour pouvoir r\u00e9sumer\u2026\",\"sameAs\":[\"http:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages &#8211; Vu d\u2019ici","description":"Rediffusion du sixi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie de ma s\u00e9rie de lives pr\u00e9sentant comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages &#8211; Vu d\u2019ici","og_description":"Rediffusion du sixi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie de ma s\u00e9rie de lives pr\u00e9sentant comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire.","og_url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/","og_site_name":"Vu d\u2019ici","article_published_time":"2024-06-28T23:53:21+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-07-05T17:49:11+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28-1024x552.png","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"Yoann Le Bars","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"\u00c9crit par":"Yoann Le Bars","Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/"},"author":{"name":"Yoann Le Bars","@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/90c5a2de7ad2db1184bbe140ebea1576"},"headline":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages","datePublished":"2024-06-28T23:53:21+00:00","dateModified":"2024-07-05T17:49:11+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/"},"wordCount":656,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/90c5a2de7ad2db1184bbe140ebea1576"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28-1024x552.png","keywords":["cds","Math\u00e9matiques","Vulgarisation"],"articleSection":["Politique","Science"],"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/","url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/","name":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages &#8211; Vu d\u2019ici","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28-1024x552.png","datePublished":"2024-06-28T23:53:21+00:00","dateModified":"2024-07-05T17:49:11+00:00","description":"Rediffusion du sixi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie de ma s\u00e9rie de lives pr\u00e9sentant comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?fit=2082%2C1123&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-28.png?fit=2082%2C1123&ssl=1","width":2082,"height":1123},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/29\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-6-suspens-et-sondages\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Accueil","item":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f6 : Suspens et sondages"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#website","url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/","name":"Vu d\u2019ici","description":"Pages personnelles de Yoann LE\u00a0BARS","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/90c5a2de7ad2db1184bbe140ebea1576"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":["Person","Organization"],"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/90c5a2de7ad2db1184bbe140ebea1576","name":"Yoann Le Bars","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/fec731577f2c05141910be0dc3ef5bb2.jpeg?fit=80%2C80&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/fec731577f2c05141910be0dc3ef5bb2.jpeg?fit=80%2C80&ssl=1","width":80,"height":80,"caption":"Yoann Le Bars"},"logo":{"@id":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/"},"description":"Un enseignant-chercheur avec un peu trop de centres d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eats pour pouvoir r\u00e9sumer\u2026","sameAs":["http:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann"]}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p61hos-1p1","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":4365,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/04\/08\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-sondages-et-voyance\/","url_meta":{"origin":5395,"position":0},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie\u00a0: Sondages et voyance","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"8 avril 2022","format":"video","excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/697538767 Premier hors-s\u00e9rie de la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9es La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du premier hors-s\u00e9rie, Sondages et voyance, dans lequel, avec Chlo\u00e9\u00a0Debauges, nous indiquons ce que pr\u00e9voient les sondages pour le premier\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Politique&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4446,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/06\/17\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-4-les-sondages-de-la-discorde\/","url_meta":{"origin":5395,"position":1},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f4\u00a0: Les Sondages de la discorde","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"17 juin 2022","format":"video","excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/721584144 Quatri\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie de la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9es La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du quatri\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie, Les sondages de la discorde, dans lequel je pr\u00e9sente les sondages \u00e0 la veille du premier tour\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Politique&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4432,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/06\/11\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-3-sondages-et-confusion\/","url_meta":{"origin":5395,"position":2},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u00a03&nbsp;: Sondages  et confusion","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"11 juin 2022","format":"video","excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/719318355 Troisi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie de la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9es La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du troisi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie, Sondages et confusion, dans lequel je pr\u00e9sente les sondages \u00e0 la veille du premier tour des \u00e9lections\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Politique&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/intentionsVotes-2022-06-10.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4386,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/04\/22\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-n-2-les-annonces-des-sondages\/","url_meta":{"origin":5395,"position":3},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors s\u00e9rie n\u00b0\u202f2\u00a0: Les Annonces des sondages","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"22 avril 2022","format":"video","excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/702196035 Deuxi\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie de la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9es La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du deuxi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode hors-s\u00e9rie, Les annonces des sondages, dans lequel, avec Chlo\u00e9\u00a0Debauges et \u0391\u03bd\u03b1\u03b8\u03b5\u03c7\u03c3\u03b9\u03c3, nous pr\u00e9sentons ce que les sondages\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Politique&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/newplot1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/newplot1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/newplot1.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/newplot1.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/newplot1.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/newplot1.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":5340,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2024\/06\/07\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-hors-serie-numero-5-le-chevalier-aux-sondages\/","url_meta":{"origin":5395,"position":4},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie num\u00e9ro 5&nbsp;: Le Chevalier aux sondages","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"7 juin 2024","format":"video","excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/955020413?share=copy La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 Hors-s\u00e9rie num\u00e9ro 5\u00a0: Le Chevalier aux sondages Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du cinqui\u00e8me hors-s\u00e9rie, Le\u00a0Chevalier\u00a0aux\u00a0sondages, dans lequel, avec Chlo\u00e9\u00a0Debauges, nous analysons les derniers sondages juste\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Politique&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-08.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-08.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-08.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-08.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-08.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/intentionsVotes-2024-06-08.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4462,"url":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/2022\/07\/13\/la-geste-des-statistiques-et-de-lopinion-episode-10-les-conclusions-des-sondages\/","url_meta":{"origin":5395,"position":5},"title":"La Geste des statistiques et de l\u2019opinion \u2013 \u00c9pisode 10\u00a0: Les Conclusions des sondages","author":"Yoann Le Bars","date":"13 juillet 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/729335045 Dixi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode de la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion. Dans la s\u00e9rie de lives intitul\u00e9e La\u00a0Geste\u00a0des\u00a0statistiques\u00a0et\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019opinion, je pr\u00e9sente comment fonctionnent les sondages et comment les lire. Voici la rediffusion du dixi\u00e8me \u00e9pisode, Les\u00a0Conclusions\u00a0des\u00a0sondages, dans lequel, avec Chlo\u00e9\u00a0Debauges, nous faisons un bilan de cette ann\u00e9e d\u2019analyse des sondages. Le d\u00e9p\u00f4t\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Politique&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politique","link":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/fr\/category\/politique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5395","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5395"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5395\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5427,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5395\/revisions\/5427"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5395"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5395"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/le-bars.net\/yoann\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5395"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}